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Prediction handbook

Predict the winner.
Win the pot.

Pick one participant before the arena begins and compete for a completely separate Prediction Pot.

1

Wait for Monday

At 00:00 UTC the arena locks, all participant names are revealed and Predictions open.

2

Pick one winner

Choose one participant and stake between 1 and 5 whole A-Points. Fractional stakes are not accepted.

3

Lock your prediction

Submit before Monday 23:59 UTC. A submitted prediction is final.

4

Share the pot

Correct predictors split the Prediction Pot proportionally to their stakes.

Eligibility

Who may predict?

  • Only eligible alliance Members may place a prediction.
  • You must have enough available A-Points for the selected stake.
  • Arena participants cannot predict their own arena.
  • You may predict the same player in different arenas.
  • You may place only one prediction per arena.

Final means final

No changes or withdrawals

  • The stake is deducted immediately and held in Prediction escrow.
  • The predicted player cannot be changed.
  • The stake cannot be increased, reduced or withdrawn.
  • Predictions open only after the participant list is locked and close before the arena starts, so no performance is visible yet.

Payout

Correct predictions share the pot

Prediction stakes use whole A-Points from 1 to 5. Every correct predictor receives a share proportional to the amount they staked. Payouts are rounded down to 0.5 A-Point steps. Any remainder that cannot be divided in 0.5 A-Point steps is credited to the Alliance account.

If the arena has tied winners, a prediction on any co-winner counts as correct.

No correct prediction

The pot moves to the Alliance account

If nobody selected an arena winner, all Prediction stakes move to the Alliance account. They are not refunded.

Strict separation

Prediction Pot and Arena Prize Pool never mix

Arena entries belong only to the arena competition. Prediction stakes belong only to the Prediction Pot. Both are settled automatically by the system and every A-Point movement appears in the Member's dashboard history.

Read the Arena rules